Tag Archives: causality

Exploring Causality (Part 7)

By | August 19, 2013

As we left matters in the first part of this conclusion, we were wondering how much in this picture is causal and how much is simply opportunistic – or maybe some of both. As an example, Roman military technology dominated the world for 500-600 years. But initially their technology was notably inferior

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Exploring Causality (Part 6)

By | August 11, 2013

A good bit of the preceding material on causality comes from stuff I had prepared earlier for my classes (hence the perhaps lecturing tone on occasion.) But the immediate stimulus to develop this series on causality was a new book called Global Crisis by Geoffrey Parker. The book is enormously fascinating, and at the same time very depressing.

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Exploring causality (Part 4 of several)

By | July 31, 2013

The mathematical framework that embraces the statistical techniques of regression, analysis of variance, correlation, discriminant analysis, and several other procedures is known as the “general linear model” (GLM). 

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Exploring causality (Part 3 of several)

By | July 27, 2013

The statistical tools we wave so proudly in the air were created and validated on measurements in the physical and biological sciences domains, where standardization of phenomena is both possible and universal and where the presence of a physical instance of something defines it

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Exploring causality (Part 2 of several)

By | July 25, 2013

As I said in the previous post on this topic, we’re desperate for any tools with any arguably “scientific” credibility that might let us untangle complex social causality. Once upon a time, we could simply announce from the top of the temple steps that the god Marduk

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Exploring causality (Part 1 of several)

By | July 21, 2013

Recently, there has been extensive renewed interest in the question of causality in social systems. The question has been particularly anguished in the analysis of randomized clinical trials – those very expensive and presumably scientifically sound procedures

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